Good morning, old irons, I am your red fire! Investment has logic, trading has methods, here is the logic and actual combat you want most!In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.
After-hours, personal pension will be expanded to broad-based index products, which is the China version of 401k! At present, there are about 65 million people opening personal pension accounts in China. If the average person pays 6,000 yuan a year, the annual deposit scale is about 150 billion yuan, which is a great incremental fund. If people can make money steadily for a long time, more people will buy personal pensions (tax deductible), thus promoting the slow growth of the stock market.After-hours, personal pension will be expanded to broad-based index products, which is the China version of 401k! At present, there are about 65 million people opening personal pension accounts in China. If the average person pays 6,000 yuan a year, the annual deposit scale is about 150 billion yuan, which is a great incremental fund. If people can make money steadily for a long time, more people will buy personal pensions (tax deductible), thus promoting the slow growth of the stock market.2. From September to December, MA5 continuously crossed the four moving averages of 15, 30, 60 and 120, which is the confirmation of the upward trend;
Before September, the market has always been a high dividend for defense and hedging, and the market is specially estimated. The incremental fund is the national team; Since the end of September, the market has been the mainstream theme, with low price and small ticket style. The incremental funds are new investors entering the market and old investors recharging.Take the monthly index in the above figure as an example to illustrate:The current position of the market is in the circle. Generally speaking, when the market starts to rise, it is always unconscious to most people, because many people are aware of it after seeing the facts. It used to be said that stock trading is "seven-point mentality, two-point technology and one-point luck". I think this statement is correct, but in A shares, it is more accurate to change the mentality to policy+mentality. Although the stock markets all over the world are policy markets, A shares are more obvious.